Spatial analysis of sovereign risks: The case of emerging markets

Küçük Resim Yok

Tarih

2018

Dergi Başlığı

Dergi ISSN

Cilt Başlığı

Yayıncı

Academic Press Inc Elsevier Science

Erişim Hakkı

info:eu-repo/semantics/closedAccess

Özet

This paper examines the macroeconomic determinants of the sovereign risks for emerging markets by taking spatial linkages into consideration. We employ spatial panel models for 20 emerging markets for this purpose. Using quarterly data for the period 2004-2015, our results show that there is a strong spatial linkage between the emerging markets. The most important linkage is found to be the trade channel for the sovereign credit default swaps (CDS) spreads. Financial linkages are also important channels in transmitting the sovereign risk. Inflation rate and growth rates are found to be two important indicators of sovereign risk together with other macroeconomic variables. Our results reveal further indirect effects of macroeconomic variables for these countries.

Açıklama

Anahtar Kelimeler

Sovereign CDS spreads, Sovereign risk, Spatial econometrics, Emerging markets

Kaynak

Finance Research Letters

WoS Q Değeri

Q2

Scopus Q Değeri

Q1

Cilt

26

Sayı

Künye