Controlling the conditional false alarm rate for the MEWMA control chart

Küçük Resim Yok

Tarih

2022

Dergi Başlığı

Dergi ISSN

Cilt Başlığı

Yayıncı

Taylor & Francis Inc

Erişim Hakkı

info:eu-repo/semantics/closedAccess

Özet

An integral part of the design of control charts, including the multivariate exponentially weighted moving average (MEWMA) control chart, is the determination of the appropriate control limits for prospective monitoring. Methods using Markov chain analyses, integral equations, and simulation have been proposed to determine the MEWMA chart limits when the limits are based on a specified in-control average run length (ARL) value. A drawback of the usual approach is that the conditional false alarm rate (CFAR) for these charts varies over time in what might be in an unexpected and undesirable way. We define the CFAR as the probability of a false alarm given no previous false alarm. We do not condition on the results of a Phase I sample, as done by others, in studies of the effect of estimation error on control chart performance. We propose the use of dynamic probability control limits (DPCLs) to keep the CFAR constant over time at a specified value. The CFAR at any time, however, could be controlled to be any specified value using our approach. Using simulation, we determine the DPCLs for the MEWMA control chart being used to monitor the mean vector with an assumed known variance-covariance matrix. We consider cases where the sample size is both fixed and time-varying. For varying sample sizes, the DPCLs adapt automatically to any change in the sample size distribution. In all cases, the CFAR is held closely to a fixed value and the resulting in-control run length performance follows closely to that of the geometric distribution.

Açıklama

Anahtar Kelimeler

Average run length, dynamic probability control limits, exponentially weighted moving average, multivariate quality control, statistical process monitoring, Probability Control Limits, Average Run-Length, Poisson Count Data, Integral-Equation, Arl, Program, Model

Kaynak

Journal Of Quality Technology

WoS Q Değeri

Q2

Scopus Q Değeri

Q1

Cilt

54

Sayı

5

Künye