Monetary policy rules in emerging countries: Is there an augmented nonlinear taylor rule?

Küçük Resim Yok

Tarih

2018

Dergi Başlığı

Dergi ISSN

Cilt Başlığı

Yayıncı

Elsevier Science Bv

Erişim Hakkı

info:eu-repo/semantics/openAccess

Özet

This paper examines the Taylor rule in five emerging economies, namely Indonesia, Israel, South Korea, Thailand, and Turkey. In particular, it investigates whether monetary policy in these countries can be more accurately described by (i) an augmented rule including the exchange rate, as well as (ii) a nonlinear threshold specification (estimated using GMM), instead of a baseline linear rule. The results suggest that the reaction of monetary authorities to deviations from target of either the inflation or the output gap differs in terms of the size and/or statistical significance of the coefficients in the high and low inflation regimes in all countries. In particular, the exchange rate has an impact in the former but not in the latter regime. Overall, an augmented nonlinear Taylor rule appears to capture more accurately the behaviour of monetary authorities in these countries.

Açıklama

Anahtar Kelimeler

Emerging countries, Nonlinearities, Taylor rule

Kaynak

Economic Modelling

WoS Q Değeri

Q2

Scopus Q Değeri

Q1

Cilt

72

Sayı

Künye