Predicting COVID-19 Peaks Around the World
Küçük Resim Yok
Tarih
2020
Yazarlar
Dergi Başlığı
Dergi ISSN
Cilt Başlığı
Yayıncı
Frontiers Media Sa
Erişim Hakkı
info:eu-repo/semantics/openAccess
Özet
The official data for the time evolution of active cases of COVID-19 pandemics around the world are available online. For all countries, a peak has been either observed (China and South Korea) or is expected in the near future. the approximate dates and heights of those peaks have important epidemiological implications. Inspired by similar complex behavior of volumes of transactions of stocks at the NYSE and NASDAQ, we propose aq-statistical functional form that appears to describe satisfactorily the available data for all countries. Consistently, predictions of the dates and heights of those peaks in severely affected countries become possible unless efficient treatments or vaccines, or sensible modifications of the adopted epidemiological strategies, emerge.
Açıklama
Anahtar Kelimeler
COVID-19, pandemics, complex systems, non-extensive statistical mechanics, epidemiology
Kaynak
Frontiers in Physics
WoS Q Değeri
Q2
Scopus Q Değeri
Q2
Cilt
8
